I just cannot fathom how a cash management product can consistently offer such a “high-interest rate” in a rapidly declining interest rate environment (their reported rates have not changed since their launch in late 2019).

Note that this is not meant to be a highly volatile product where interest rates fluctuate up and down in a heartbeat. It is supposed to mimic that of short-term interest rates.

Why so? This is because the underlying “financial products” that these cash management services invest in are Cash Funds (CF) and Money Market Funds or MMF for short.

These are funds that buy into highly safe, highly liquid short-duration bond funds consisting of the highest-grade government bonds or government-linked entities for example.

To generate higher interest rates for clients vs. investing purely in a CF or MMF which probably generates c.1 - 1.2 per cent at best in today’s environment, StashAway Simple also invests in an Enhanced Liquidity Fund which takes on slightly higher credit and duration risk.

In a scenario where interest rates are declining and possible heading to zero or into negative territory, why will these high credit-rated companies and government bodies (with almost zero credit/default risk) be offering new bonds with interests any higher than 2 per cent? It just doesn’t make sense.

They are not your charity organisation. This figure will continue to trend lower in today’s context, possibly below 1 per cent. There is almost no doubt about it unless we are faced with a serious bout of hyper-inflation which forces rates to rise substantially. No one is taking that scenario seriously, at least not for the moment.

So if short-term rates are constantly being revised downwards, as we can observe in the “no-longer” high-interest savings rate account offerings by our banks, how is StashAway Simple able to offer consistently high rates?

Transparency and trust

Don’t get me wrong. I love high rates as well. But I do value transparency even more, particularly with our local Robo Advisors which are still seen as the “new kids on the block” when it comes to providing financial solutions to the mass market.

They have yet to gain widespread trust within our local community unlike what the major US Robo Advisors have achieved. We often hear of investors not willing to invest with Robo Advisors here in Singapore if their custodian accounts are not under the individual investor’s name.

It might be a huge concern for some, less so for others like me, but that is again base on one own’s risk appetite and capital management.

But the gist is that transparency and establishing trust is key to gaining widespread adoption. I hope that many of these Singapore Robo advisors will continue to thrive and provide a better alternative to bank offerings for normal consumers like you and me (not the premium High net-worth clients serviced by private banks).

However, without establishing a transparent corporate policy that wins the trust of investors, product/service superiority matters little.

Are we too “hard-up” for yield?

Singaporeans love our yield. We are a smart (and often too hardworking) bunch of consumers who will “account hop” to bank accounts which provide us with the highest yield. Nicely worded, we are savvy. Not so nice, we are cheapskates. Why focus on a single tree when you can potentially grow your forest empire?

Meaning instead of choosing to chase the additional 0.5 per cent rate, why don’t we improve our financial knowledge and invest to get 5 per cent more, for example?

Sure, that 5 per cent in this example is not guaranteed but so is your additional 0.5 per cent when financial institutions start to revise that figure lower. Some will argue that the latter is capital guaranteed, super safe. Well, as the popular saying goes, nothing in life is guaranteed except for death and taxes.

By choosing the safer “capital guaranteed” route, we subject ourselves to the full impact of high inflation, which I believe will come, sooner or later.

Singapore robo advisors heading down the wrong route?

So, we come to the crux of this article. Why are Singapore Robo advisors “competing” to offer higher cash management products? To be fair, not all Singapore Robo advisors are competing. Some such as MoneyOwl WiseSaver is just providing a vanilla CF product, resulting in a gross yield of just 0.79 per cent. Hardly enticing.

The last I check, FSMOne AutoSweep (both CF and MMF) account rate is at 0.99 per cent as of June 29 and POEMS’ excess fund management is at around 1.04 per cent.

Will these Robos or brokerage firms ultimately be enticed to offer higher cash management products?

I can’t be certain, but for now, they are sticking to their core product, which is to invest investors’ excess cash into CF and MMF that is liquid and ultra-safe. That to me should be the true purpose of cash management, at least for the retail context.

We are not talking about HNW, financially savvy folks who know exactly the kind of risks they are getting into to achieve higher yields.

It is unrealistic, in my opinion, to expect to get higher interest rates, without taking on higher risks, especially when global interest rates are spiraling towards negative territory.

Endowus new cash management products

Endowus recently launch its cash management product. Endowus Cash Smart Core offers a rate of 1.1 per cent to 1.3 per cent pa while Endowus Cash Smart Enhanced offers 1.9 per cent to 2.2 per cent.

I believe that there are already several financial bloggers who have provided a summary of their cash management services, hence, I won’t be doing it here in this article. Below is the table from Endowus’ website.

For those who are interested, you can read more about their cash management product offering here.

From my understanding, these rates will be updated weekly for existing users of their cash management and core product services as well as the public to provide transparency pertaining to their latest available rates, just like what FSMOne has done in their cash management aka auto sweep website.

Again, let me reiterate that I have nothing against providing cash management services. It is great for consumers who now have an easy way to partake in money market funds which in the past ain’t well known. Their popularity has indirectly escalated with cash management offerings by Robos.

Cash management should just be one of the many holistic offerings by robos

However, cash management, even if they are done transparently, should be just one of the many value-added offerings that a Robo advisor provides and should not be the key reason why one is investing with them.

Look at the best US Robo advisors. Take WealthFront for example, one of the largest fintech Robo Advisors in the US. It used to be offering high cash management rates back in early 2019, slightly north of 2 per cent when interest rates then were comparatively higher.

The latest figure now is 5x the national average. Guess how much that amounts to? A grand total of 0.35 per cent (national rate is 0.06 per cent)!

That is the reality of a global declining interest rate environment. You can’t expect high-interest rates without taking on more risk. The US Robo advisors are not offering that, of course in their marketing pitch, the 6x higher than national rate still sounds attractive.

What they are focused on is improving their core fundamental service offerings to consumers/ investors. Keeping fees as low as possible, providing great educational resources for the masses, an extremely user-friendly platform with plenty of useful information on one’s investment, for example, the trend in the dividend received, etc. This is what our local Robos should be focused on delivering.

Is this all a marketing ploy?

So for Endowus and StashAway to offer a higher interest rate “option”, is that a marketing “ploy” that will ultimately kick-start the race towards higher interest cash management account at the possible expense of the safety of our cash?

As highlighted previously, the only way of generating higher interest in today’s low-interest-rate environment is to take on higher risk by vesting in corporate bonds for example vs. say Singapore government bonds.

In normal circumstances where volatility is low and the economy is growing its GDP, the probability of a credit default by large organisations which issue these investment-grade bonds is generally low to nil.

But we are not in normal times and the current recession triggered by Covid-19 could become a long battle for survival for many large corporations and individuals alike.

To take on higher risk and packaging it as a cash management service for the retail masses just doesn’t seem like it is going to be in the best interest of retail investors in the long-run.

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Sure, the 100-120bp increase in rates might sound wonderful on the surface. Slowly as the race for yield intensifies, retail investors will “benefit” from even higher-yielding product offerings.

Until the house of cards collapses. Not saying that will happen but just highlighting a possible black swan scenario.         

I know that I am being critical here but my core intention isn’t malicious. At the end of the day, it is still buyers beware. The robos are just providing the supply to where the demand is. No one is forcing you to use their cash management services.

But Singapore Robo advisors should also have the courage and responsibility of not following the herd and offer a cash management product that is highly popular for obvious reasons but no longer sticking to the product’s core purpose.

In this case, a fuss-free cash solution that offers higher rates than normal bank savings account but yet still provides the “capital guaranteed” safety that retail investors should come to expect.

Singapore Robo advisors and other financial institutions should educate consumers/retail investors and manage their expectations in today’s low-interest-rate context.

Conclusion    

This article might seem like I am against Singapore Robo advisors. Quite the contrary. I believe that they are a good investing platform for new and young investors to use when starting their investing journey.

Yes, there is the additional platform fees that one will have to pay vs. a DIY basis but for those who do not have the time nor knowledge to invest on a DIY basis, then robos are an ideal one-stop-shop platform to get started on, with the fees paid generally still reasonable.

For those interested, do read this ultimate guide to Robo advisors in Singapore.

As their AUM grows, that could translate to lower platform fees for consumers as well.

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However, the race to provide a higher interest cash management solution is not one that I feel is in the best interest of both investors and the Robos themselves in the long run.

Robos are setting themselves a high benchmark that has a reasonable chance of failure and ultimately losing the trust of their investors when reality sets in.

Once again, this article is solely an opinion piece. I like to reiterate that I am a Robo supporter and I hope that their core product offerings will one day match that of their US peers.

I do intend to open an Endowus account, not so much to capitalise on their high cash management offerings but purely for my own investment diversification purpose as well as potentially “bottom-fishing on the mean-reversion of value investing.

This article was first published in New Academy of Finance. Disclaimer: All content is displayed for general information purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice.